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Saturday 29 September 2018

Restructuring Nigeria: The Big Political Question Of Our Time.

At 58, Nigeria's political culture is still deeply embedded in corruption and authoritarian politics

                   
   Grab your share is not the future in the modern era, we must build a new society with an 'efficient and impartial government' , a society that works for everyone not just for the few- Uche Okeke                                         ON 1st October 2018, Nigeria leaders will gather its trumatized citizens to celebrate pseudo independence from the colonial masters, but the unanswered question is when will the people  celebrate real independence from post colonial indigeneous colonization; modern day slavery by their own people. Fifty -eight years after the supposed independence Nigerians are still suffering the sad devastation of 'hijacking by despotism; the licence to do as one pleases'. Post independent Nigeria is marked by clintelism, the favouring of political associates and friends, characterized by 'patronage', the favouring of family and proteges, permeated by cronyism, the favouring of friends, riddled with political and economic corruption, favouritism and political bias. Today, it's worst with the mistake of destiny which has practically demonstrated how to create a dark and dangerous future; tyranny.  Look at what we have got : Abuse of power, absence of rule of law and human rights, bad governance, barbarism, killings, bigotry and brutality, corruption, incompetence, certificate forgeries, bribery, ethnic minority discrimination, inequity, unequal opportunities, exclusion, political bias and favouritism, recession, instability, insecurity, terrorism, herdsmen, land grabbing, deplorable infrastructure and public services including education and healthcare services, medical tourism, mass unemployment, fraudlent and violoent elections, persistence of poverty and stagnation, lack of transparency and accountability, abuse of subsidy, violent repression of civil liberties, full blown dictatorship. The legislature no longer exist due to intimidation and bullying of the legislators, invariable, there is no more democracy in Nigeria. Nigeria ranks very poor in global governance index trailing behind countries that are currently in conflict in Africa. Change in Nigeria is long overdue. The country will pay a heavy price if the current government remains in power, definitely things will get worst having rejected the restructuring of the current political structure which is the sole reason for persistence of poverty and stagnation. October 1 2018 sees a new date, the same type of music, no plans for a new future, we are not at a point yet where we can say that progress is being made. No doubt, its the future of our young people that is being destroyed, given the huge population explosion. This is a fact that now stare us in the face. We must do something quickly about this dysfunctional system that adopts 19th century dangerous ideologies to destroy lives; delivering poverty instead of prosperity, fighting yesterday's battle instead of  driving human progress by embracing the challenges of the future. This year's independence anniversary presents another opportunity to look inwards, where we have gone wrong and how we can deal with challenging situations of bad governance. A repeat of past mistakes definitely prevents us from having a good future, its as simple as that. For the vast majority of Nigerians, this is not the future we want. The time has come to restructure the political system widely identified as the reason for persistence of poverty and stagnation so that people can take their destiny in their own hands. Read this blog regularly as we continue to look at the 'huge and important issues' faced by our country, analyse, search for solutions, advocate and communicate best practices. Find out more: Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to address the 'interconnectedness of trust, governance and growth. Click on this link to read : http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/restructuring-nigeria-is-one-sure-way.html  Ordinary people must listen and learn not to be deceieved by the map narrative-'Map of Nigeria',the distorted narrative of the same people who exploit them and prevent them from enjoying peace and prosperity in their own country. The system is not working, and will not work unless we restructure this political system;'unitary-centralised system which empowers the centre to erect obstacles to development and growth-'expensive, wasteful, dictatorial', that's the whole point. The future demands immediate change. The president says foreigners are encouraging corruption in Nigeria, perhaps he doesn't seem to understand what corruption means: 'Hijacking by despotism; the licence to do as one pleases'. The president is also the petroleum minister, his chief of staff is the executive director of NNPC, his brother is the MD of NNPC. A look at the board of the nation's apex oil industry NNPC reveals that all the directors are from one section of the country, their children employed in choice lucrative jobs , yet the government can't create jobs, pay minimum wage, exclude people from seeking elective positions, etc. I don't know if it's foreigners that encouraged him to adopt this strategy. We must build a new society where people can call home, a new society that works for everyone, not just the few. Restructuring presents that magic bullet to achieve good governance. Good governance is about openness, and transparency, efficient provision of public goods, strong institutions that will remove the need for bribery and corruption, increased levels of trust, greater provision of public services including education and healthcare, reducing the incentive for grab your share of the national cake that has defined the country, economic growth and prosperity . It is possible to have fair and just society, where freedom, equity, and social justice reigns. supreme, then we can celebrate independence. Click on this link to read more about Good
governance: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/the-hard-truth-about-restructuring.html
Sixtus Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of  Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis, Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It. He lives in London, United Kingdom.

Thursday 27 September 2018

You can't vote here, policeman tells Osun voter | Punch


There is no future without freedom. Sadly we are now back to the dark ages,  a return of the society to crude authoritarian politics of the 19th century instead of embracing human rights and freedom which the 21st century offers. The time has come to end this abuse of power in Nigeria. Find out more as we continue to advocate for a new society that works for everyone, not just the cabals using fear and terror to impose leadership and create more poverty, endless stagnation , instead of prosperity. Thanks to technology, the evidence is there for the world to see if this is the kind of political environment to invest. It's difficult to invest in a place of fear, terror and unpredictable future, that's the whole point, people need to be properly informed so as to be on the right side of history. Today's election in Osun state has brought the reputation of the whole country to the mud;  violence, killings, chaos and confusion, what a big shame to the government. The reputation of the whole country is being destroyed due to mass ignorance and dangerous politicians who have nothing to offer in the 21st century.

Uche Okeke is a Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Monday 24 September 2018

President Obama Delivers a Message to the Nigerian People


They said the world -does not get involved to influence political systems of member states, how can they effectively ensure that people's rights-political and economical rights are protected, since the political system of Nigeria does not have the will of the whole society. The world should focus on putting pressure on power holders to allow their people to determine the future they want instead of just the next election. In Nigeria restructuring is one sure way to start afresh not just the next election, election every four years. The people should not be fooled, the current unitary-centralised political system-authoritarian politics is not the answer but reform/restructuring. Dictatorship comes with human and social costs, that's not the future in the 21st century. The current political system in Nigeria degrades politics, deprive the country development, growth and stability so the people must be allowed to collectively seek for solution. No doubt, Nigeria stands a chance to be great, but restructuring doesn't mean disintegration rather better diversity and development. The world should help Nigeria address this urgent task of reform/restructuring for development. We must commend Ex-President Obama for reminding us to choose the path of unity, peace and progress. This is a challenge to political leaders because ordinary people are not offered a choice in Nigeria.

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

The LEAD Project Foundation: My own story: 'you must do the things you think yo...

The LEAD Project Foundation: My own story: 'you must do the things you think yo...:  "We want to encourage new ideas but we dismiss many of those who have them..., if life is a marathon, then none of us should have to...

Democracy or Autocracy, the stark choice facing Nigeria

The people must be willing to choose between freedom, fear and terror. Everyone wins if we make the right choice. The shameful , barbaric and disappointing events of the last four years is a constant reminder not to fall for vain promises of dangerous politicians who are not equipped to solve 21st century problems. The truth is it's impossible to solve Nigeria's problem , consolidate democracy and development with the status-quo; unitary-centralised political system that deny human rights and promote abuse of power- Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It. Find out more soon.

Sunday 23 September 2018

Vote buying now deeply embedded in Nigeria's political culture

Vote buying is now deeply embedded in Nigeria's political culture as witnessed in many recent elections. No doubt this  avoidable practices affect the transparency of elections in Nigeria and the reputation of the whole country expected to be Africa's role model. The reason is not far fetched- bad governance, ignorance, poverty, political corruption, desperation of the politicians to consolidate their grips on power, etc. This unwelcome development should be a huge cause for concern to all because election is a very important part of the democratic process to form a sound government. Find out more soon, as we continue to research and communicate best practices to inspire ordinary people to demand change from political leaders. Today change is possible.

 Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

The strategic importance of Osun State Governorship contest to 2019 Elections in Nigeria

           Voters waiting to cast their votes in Osun State Nigeria. Photo: Google Images.

 "Credible Election is a very important factor for sound government to deliver growth and              stability. We must get it right in Nigeria by ensuring it's transparent- free and fair"- Uche Okeke.

The Osun State governorship election has been declared inconclusive by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission INEC  citing very narrow winner margin and ordered a re-run in some local government areas where there were pockets of irregularities. The re-run set for thursday 27 September 2018 has generated controversies. What's left to ascertain is if the reasons are genuine and if its within the election rules. This is now a matter for the courts to interpret.  While we commend the smooth and transparent process which has thrown up surprises, there is quite a number of lessons to be learned as the country prepares for the next general elections in 2019. First the election has proved that everyone matters in a democracy and supports the need for inclusiveness. Secondly it has confirmed global predictions by experts that next year's presidential election in Nigeria will be a tight contest between the ruling APC party and the main opposition PDP. Meanwhile the opposition PDP party whose candidate, Senator Adeleke pulled the highest number of votes in the election has rejected the decision of INEC  for a re-run election and asked the electoral umpire to declare their candidate the winner. Information on their Facebook page indicates that the party will be heading to court on Monday 23 September 2018 to compel the Independent Electoral Commission to conclude the election by declaring their candidate the winner having satisfied the election requirements. Nigeria's human right lawyer, and Senior Advocate of Nigeria, Mike  Ozekhome, (SAN) has described this development as "ludicrous mockery of our electoral process and constitutionalism, subversion of the people's will, a dangerous subversion and travesty of the electoral process, a blow to the country's hard earned constitutional democracy and an ominous sign of the farce to expect in 2019". Writing on his Facebook page, he concluded that what they have just done to Senator Adeleke's votes is to "defeat the will and legitimate franchise of the good people of Osun state-"- (Facebook).

 Find out more soon as we analyse, the process, participation, the role of security personnel,  transparency, INEC capacity ,good governance, democracy, economic growth , and stability in Nigeria. http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/tvc-news-nigeria-live.html

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Growth is not too complex if we play by the rules in Nigeria

"The 21st century in one way at least, will be African. In  1990 sub-Saharan Africa accounted for 16% of the world's births. Because African birth rates are so much higher than elsewhere, the proportion has risen to 27% and is expected to hit 37% in 2050. About a decade later more babies will be born in sub-Saharan Africa than in the whole of Asia, including India and China"-The Economist. Photo: Uche Okeke

It's very possible to achieve growth and stability in Nigeria if we play by the rules, because politics and economics are interconnected. The current system works for 'the few' not for the whole, the power holders don't believe in growth for all. We must address the political system-expensive, wasteful, dictatorial, 'senseless acts of random violence', Good governance, equality, the big issue of corruption; both business corruption and political corruption, build strong institutions including the Independence of the judiciary and the legislature, strengthen the rule of law,  invest in growth policies-knowledge economy,  tech, infrastructure, better public services including education and healthcare, diversification, etc, women empowerment, free markets , global partnership. We must empower people not control . This population explosion presents both great opportunity and risk . The government we elected must be willing to guarantee individual rights and freedom; political and economic rights, eliminate political bias and favouritism to 'reinforce levels of generalised trust', and be willing to discharge its functions 'fairly and effectively'. The system must be inclusive, guarantee access to participation, open and transparent. If we continue to promote fragmentation, exclusion, wastes, corruption, selective justice, violently repressing civil liberties, use conquering techniques against some sections of the society including the 95%/05% development policy/public services policy, creating fear, terror, and uncertainty, the result will remain the same persistence of poverty, stagnation and instability. Everyone wins if we play by the rules. Citizens must be treated equally and their rights respected.

Find out more soon as we continue to research and communicate vital information which we hope could inspire action for the desired change.

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Saturday 22 September 2018

Osun State Nigeria Governorship Election 2018 Result Live


"An unprecedented travesty of justice and shattering democratic values are ongoing in Osun state"- Senator Ademola Adeleke , opposition PDP Governorship candidate in Osun State Nigeria.
Osun state re-run election has confirmed elections in Nigeria as sham, barbaric, violent and shameful abuse of power. The country's reputation is being destroyed on a daily basis by dangerous politicians benefiting from a dysfunctional system that 'traps and exploits' the majority, delivering poverty instead of prosperity. Definitely things would get worst if this government remains in power, the signs are there for everyone to see- absence of rule of law and human rights, deplorable resistance to modernity. No doubt Nigeria's dysfunctional political system fuels 'crisis of democracy' so its long overdue for restructuring to guarantee good governance, human rights and freedom. Without freedom the future is not safe. It's impossible to have a credible, free and fair elections where the government is a player, referee, security, licensing authority. Everyone wins if we play by the rules. According to Senator Adeleke, the opposition PDP Governorship candidate in Osun State; "Applying all standards, today's supplementary poll is a non-event as all norms of electoral processes are violated. Voters are deliberately refused access to polling points at gun points". In his words; "we report to the whole world the brazen theft and daylight swindling of Osun people who are criminally denied their rights to vote and be voted for by anti-people conspiracy among INEC, security agencies and the ruling All Progressive Party-APC"-Adeleke rejects Osun re-run election,  Daily Trust Thursday, 27 september, 2018. The time for change is now. The current political system which empowers the executive to do as it pleases is long overdue for change. Find out more as we continue to advocate for a new system that is inclusive, a system that works for everyone, not just the wishes of the few, the power grabs. Everyone wins if we play by the rules.
Uche Okeke is a Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Debate is an opportunity to put the 'politics and personalities' of potential leaders in Nigeria to test

"Debates afford candidates the opportunity to provide informative, concise summaries of their major policy positions and view points in a single evening"-Benjamin Knoll

Today election should be a contest not coronation. Election is a very important process of establishing a sound government to address the collective challenges of the country. Debate is very essential for democracy in Nigeria, to enable ordinary people access the quality of of the people that want to govern them. What we are witnessing is a scenario where leaders are imposed on the people through party politics with little or no idea about their politics and personalities.  Live debate should be a requirement for elective positions in Nigeria if we truly want democracy to thrive. We learnt debate is not a legal requirement for participation in election in Nigeria, there is urgent need for a new legislation to make it compulsory for those seeking elective positions to take part in live debate in front of the viewing public so that people can directly access and compare the ideas of the men and women who want to govern them. This has become very important especially in a new era of certificate forgery which has become a common feature of our local politics. We have just written a new blog post advocating the need for our politics to embrace modernity and global best practices, live debate has become the cornerstone of politics in advanced societies where the politicians are keen to face the viewing public with their key policies for evaluation. Live debate offers voters the opportunity to scrutinize candidates who has the potential to deliver, not just big claims to continue business as usual. The Modern age requires decent people with good education, experience, and expertise, solid track record in both the private and public sector including good knowledge of global affairs. Those aspiring for leadership positions should have independent mind, ideas and good policies not the ideas of god fathers seeking for personal gains; their families and associates. Live debate is one sure way for political leaders to identify with a wider audience instead of narrow demands of the party leadership which is one of the root problems of stagnation. Live debates is one sure way to guarantee competitive contest needed to ensure greater citizen engagement, transparency and accountability. Political debates have the tendency to eliminate vote buying now deeply embedded in our political culture and unnecessary damage to election institutions and the reputation of the whole country. No doubt, this can contribute to 'efficient institutional controls' and open and transparent government' in Nigeria. Live debates are educational. According to Benjamin Knoll; "debates afford candidates the opportunity to provide informative, concise summaries of their major policy positions and view points in a single evening". In his words; "research has shown that voters learn from debates. After watching a single debate, viewers are more accurately able to describe the platforms of the candidates and this often prompts them to seek out additional information about the candidates"- The Advantages and Disadvantages of Modern Presidential Debates, Hoffington Post October 02 2012. Debate is one sure way to give voters a real choice, and help them ascertain a candidate that actually understands local needs and can deliver even under pressure.

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It

Find out more soon.

Friday 21 September 2018

Politics in Nigeria is stuck in the dark ages, its time to embrace modernity

 "
Without my approval you are going no where"- Professor Richard Griffiths. Photo: Uche Okeke

What is the truth? What is the alternative? Nigeria has become an unfortunate story without an immediate solution. We must go beyond propaganda to embrace the truth. The truth is Polititcs in Nigeria is grossly stuck in the dark ages, we must embrace modernity to grow. The current system is grossly flawed; "characterised by patronage-the favouring of family and proteges, permeated by cronyism- the favouring of friends, clintellism- the favouring of regular business contacts and political associates and corruption- the giving or taking of bribes to secure a deal"-Professor Richard Griffiths. The politicians simply do as it pleases them due to mass ignorance and unwillingness to mobilise effectively and put pressure on the political elites to play by the rules. People prefer to be bribed; grab your share. A lot of people don't seem to understand the problems and the danger it poses to the future. We can do something about it. This blog is an attempt to help build an 'informed citizenry' that can help change the way things are. What is the truth? ; a new constitution created by the will of the people , a country where people are free from oppression. In a country where the government is above the law of the land, no inclusiveness, people live in 'permanent fear and terror', the quality of life in such a political climate is everyone's guess, a dilemma, a tragedy.  Nigeria ranks very poor on governance indicator. The World Justice Project- WJP measuring rule of law adherence, has Ghana as top performer in Sub-Saharan Africa, elections are not expected to be free and fair,  ofcourse we should not expect credible elections  in a political environment where the government is the referee, player, security and licencing authority. The people don't have a say in choosing their own leaders and the majority deliberately prized out of participation through exorbitant party nomination fees, and other gross abuse of government power, so we should not expect a sound government from such arrangement.  Embracing modernity is one sure way to address persistence of 'dysfunctional government, economic stagnation and societal disconnect' in Nigeria. Modernity is about Restructuring the current political system to ensure 'good governance, efficient institutional controls, open and transparent government'. The political system is the biggest threat to good governance , future growth and stability in Nigeria, so something must be done about it. The politicians are simply looking at the next election ignoring the big picture. The country faces the risk of population explosion and there seems not to be enough foundation to cope effectively with this trend given the usual economic and political corruption that has characterised the polity, due to the political system. The truth is that this government cannot get it right in four years given their position on the status-quo the same reason for stagnation and instability, so where is the future under this government? In the 21st century the country needs restructuring to create the new foundations on which the economy and prosperity of its people can advance, which independent/autonomous states offers; free from the political decisions of the centre. The centre is about fragmentation, sectarian divisions, economic and political corruption, political bias and favouritism, dictatorial, wastes and inefficiency etc. No country advances given this phenomenon where development is tied to the dictates of the 'few' at the centre- politicisation of public policies,. Modernity is about freedom, autonomy, adherence to the rule of law, fundamental rights, open government, order and security, regulatory enforcement, absence of corruption, educated leadership; people of expertise and experience leveraging global best practices and partnerships to drive growth and stability, not confusion, corruption and conflict, the 'damaging phenomenon of political corruption' . We must go beyond party politics if we truly want to solve the challenges of the future. These are the same "cliques improperly enriching themselves'', while manipulating the rest of the society. The focus should be a restructured Nigeria free from too much political interference of the centre. Economic development, growth and stability is not too complex, its achievable if we do the needful, play by the rules. All the societies that have embraced modernisation are peaceful and prosperous. The world needs to understand that the answer to Nigeria's problem is less to do with economics than the abuse of power, that's the whole point. This is the time to embrace modernity. The current system is not working, we must try something new; adopt game changing methods which restructuring offers.

Find out more soon. 

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Thursday 20 September 2018

The centrality of trust in Nigeria, are we winning?

"Trust is a glue that holds societies together. A confidence in good governance in terms of openness and transparency as well as the efficient provision of public goods, would also reduce the incentive for social groups, however defined to grab shares for themselves''- Professor Richard Griffiths. Photo: Uche Okeke.

Trust is very essential to the development and growth of the society. So undermining trust leads to fragmentation of the society which poses a big threat to democracy and development. Find out more soon as we continue to advocate for a society that works for everyone. We only hope that policy makers will allow good reason to prevail instead of unneccesary pursuit of barbaric ideas that create more problem for the society instead of development. Ordinary people need to know how democracy is attacked so as to be in a better position to be on the right side of history. Everyone wins if people are well-informed , inspired to put more pressure on the politicians to follow the rules. Restructuring will definitely bring an end to the 'grab your share phenomenon' which characterises politics in Nigeria and pave way for good governance-'transparency and accountability' which will result to the desired growth and stability. But if people prefer to be bribed, bad governance will continue with its sad reward of stagnation, instability, that's the whole point. Click on this link to read more about resrtucturing Nigeria http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/restructuring-nigeria-is-one-sure-way.html This government has demonstrated bold political bias and favouritism especially in a heterogeneous society, bias and the use of instruments of government against the opponents, against ethnic minorities, skewed political appointments and politicization of policies, i wonder how the president will seek for votes from other marginalised ethnic minorities . This deliberate action undermines good governance-'openness, transparency, accountability desperately needed to achieve economic growth and stability. The government must be willing to guarantee individual rights and freedom and demonstrate the willingness to discharge its functions fairly and effectively. Find out more soon.

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-' Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Saturday 15 September 2018

There is no future for authoritarian rule in Nigeria in the golden age

"If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and moral then its not a political party , its merely a conspiracy to seize power"- Dwight D. Eisenhower. Photo: Uche Okeke

We should be concerned that Africa's largest economy is walking on a slippery path. This is not the time to allow prejudice, self-interests, outdated knowledge, etc, to overtake good sense. We must free ourselves from being 'prisoners of the map'; the distorted views of the politicians who exploit the collective ignorance of the masses, for selfish gains. Everything seems deadlocked and the government is simply interested in power grips. They said election of a dictator is a bad omen, we are just witnessing that. If things continue like this no one knows what the future holds as the government seems to be at war with everyone especially the leading opposition leaders branded as 'thieves' who destroyed the economy in the past. The government has increased its denial and misinformation campaign insisting that corruption not the restructuring of the dysfunctional political system which is the root of the nation's problem is its priority. Meanwhile there is abundant evidence of  the government's complicity in looting the country's resources in its very short term in government. Its recent attack is the global banking giant HSBC Bank. Sadly a government seeking global partnership has resorted to open confrontation with experts and global investors whose voices carry more weight in international circles. We learnt HSBC said they will ''expose all the secret President Buhari and his cronies are using to launder money abroad", this is just a tip of the iceberg. According to Channels TV,  both the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), the research unit of The Economist Magazine and HSBC Bank, UK had predicted in a report that a second term for President Buhari would "greatly stunt the economic development of the country". This is a common knowledge to any Political Economy student because politics and economics are interconnected. Dictator rule does not result in economic development. It's worst with a unitary-centralised political system designed by ruthless power grabs for their self-interests only, which the government has refused to restructure, so the future under Buhari is very gloomy for Nigeria. In their own words ; a second term for Mr Buhari raises the risk of limited economic progress and further fiscal deterioration". Denying and distorting information is an age long authoritarian tool which has no future in the modern era. The time has come to save democracy in Nigeria, because there's no future in autocracy, 'permanent fear and terror'. A populist government that claims every other person is corrupt except them is not the future we want. We must be honest and stop pretending that all is well. Everything history tells us about authoritarianism now stare us in the face, so we must learn from it. Today we have the 'solutions for yesterday's problems', only when we are ready. In the words of Michael Voisin; "the question is whether we are ready for what might come next". A small minority holding the rest of the society to ransome and the people do nothing. If we want a society that is fair, inclusive and prosperous , certainly autocracy is not the answer, rather restructuring of this monstrous political structure that have enabled autocracy/authoritarian rule in Nigeria. Unless we stop looking at the map designed by strangers we will be stuck in this 'anarchic state' whose prime object is to preserve its own existence by maintaining absolute power over its own citizens. This unwelcome situation could be avoided. In the words of Professor Richard Griffiths; "in a state of almost permanent fear and terror, life as we know would grind to a halt". We can do something about it.
Read More: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/restructuring-nigeria-is-one-sure-way.html

Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation. He lives in London.

Friday 14 September 2018

Are we still in one country? says Nigeria's Southern and Middle-belt leaders. What's the alternative?

"History is replete with bullies who seemed formidable for a time only to crash by attempting too much or by under-estimating the quiet courage of honourable women and men"-Madeleine Albright. Photo: Uche Okeke.

Sadly some of us still see the world through the 'map' narrative- distorted views that tend to make us celebrate or fight for the status-quo, the same reason for persistence of poverty, mass unemployment, stagnation, insecurity and instability. The events of today vindicate us on a daily basis. Every where we direct our search we get the same answer; 'Restructuring Nigeria' is the solution to the dilemma we face; ruthless pursuit of self-interests. We can live with it or we change it, or we still wallow in the narrative; why bother to change it, the very distorted views of the power grabs; ruthless cabals with a 'distinct lack of conscience'. They don't believe in growth for all. Instead of investing for the future, they prefer to invest in guns/security for control. These people are not our friends and cannot be trusted with our collective future. What's the alternative? Ordinary people need to be aware of this peril; real and present danger that now stare us in the face.

 Read this blog regularly to help change your world view. The status-quo does not hold any further promise of change. It's our desire to provide ordinary people with abundant evidence of state failure so that they can be on the right side of history. Choose freedom not fear. No moral cause just a conspiracy to seize power. Think smart. Reject authoritarian rule. Reject political bribery. Demand Restructuring . Vote for committed democrats that will guarantee inclusive society, that's the future. The future is no longer a return of the society to the primitive state where life is 'short, nasty and brutish'. We can change the way things are. Now we have enough reasons to be worried.

Uche Okeke is a Statistician,  Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation, and the Author of  'Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Thursday 13 September 2018

Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to address the 'interconnectedness of trust, governance and growth'

"A long time ago we have already internalized the map and the locations and information it projects to basically suit our own purposes. Most of us can live with that. And anyway why bother to change it?- Professor Richard Griffiths. Photo: Uche Okeke. I have argued very strongly that politics in Nigeria is dominated by self-interests, narrow demands of the cabals who weild power; ruthless cabal with a 'distinct lack of conscience'. The country has been shaped more by political decisions of the centre ; unitary-centralised political system characterised by exploitation, ruthless pursuit of self-interests which affects economic development , trust, governance and growth. It needs adjustment/restructuring to guarantee autonomous states/regions, independence of the political decisions of the centre.-'greater devolution of responsibilities and resources'. There is abundant evidence of successful economies that do not have the benefits of oil or size. They have thrived on efficient tax system, technology, entrepreneurship, Agriculture, manufacturing,  trade, greater citizen engagement, inclusiveness, knowledge economy, empowering women, pioneering investment and innovation, modernisation, prudent management and better governance, the myth of diaspora, NGOs, global partnerships etc. Independent states with more economic and financial resources present great opportunity not risks for development. Restructuring is the solution to the current political system/structure which 'obstructs development and consolidation of democracy' in Nigeria. Homogeneous society is a great advantage to democratization, this is not far from moving economic and political power down to identity. Restructuring is about alternative policy responses to stagnation, persistence poverty, unemployment and instability .Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to address the 'inter-connectedness of trust, governance and growth'. Employing a political economy approach, Independent States/Autonomy will promote decentralized leadership for more effective governance(avoid any centralised leadership), prevent dominant coalition, make it ''easier to obtain consensus, develop and propagate its own agenda , build separated and strong institutions-investigative and judicial arm and promote its own ideology and diplomacy', cultural and historical values', greater citizen engagement-accountability and transparency, and embrace partnership as part of its own development strategy. Unlike the current structure characterised by self-interests, formation of dominant coalition, lack of transparency and accountability, weak institutions and mechanisms to hold leaders to account for their promises. Restructuring is one sure way to harness or manage our diversity, make the union strong and leverage global partnership to effect development and the much needed change. Restructuring is neither disintegration nor secession, as the politicians want ignorant people to believe, so ordinary people need to be properly informed. Without restructuring anything else  is 'distraction'. Today it's possible to effect change by putting more pressure on the political elites to do the needful. Today's technology has empowered ordinary people to mobilise and take action to demand change, so be inspired. This blog is an attempt to help shift thinking by providing new information and ideas to inspire action and possibly drive change. All the societies that embraced this model are peaceful and prosperous. Electoral democracy, i.e, election every four years does not bring development especially in a political climate/environment characterised by pitch invasions; 'gutter' politicians in charge. Some of us still see the world through the 'map' phenomenon or map narrative; distorted views that tend to make us celebrate and fight for the status-quo, the same reason for persistence of poverty, unemployment, stagnation, political instability. Thinking needs to change. We must be able to change certain things written 100-years ago that is no longer working. The time for change is now. The recent nationwide clamour for restructuring is an ideal opportunity for the government to do the needful. What the country needs now is a positive and forward looking approach to rebuild trust by acknowledging that the current political system/structure has failed also recognising that positive action is needed to effect restructuring to guarantee the much needed inclusiveness. 
Restructuring Nigeria is possible, it's achievable, but it will only happen if we allow reason to prevail. It simply needs statesmanship, positive leadership and political will that will look beyond the 19th century political ideology of conquest and control and recognise that the world has changed. We must change the way things are, this is the future. We must learn to look at our problem from the global best practices, not the narrow/distorted views of the power grabs, self proclaimed statesmen influenced by prejudice, outdated knowledge and self-interests. Finally the answer to Nigeria's problem is less to do with economics than the abuse of power. Homogeneity increases the trust level in society, leads to good governance and economic progress. A political system that leaves majority of its population living below the extreme poverty line cannot be morally justifyiable, it must be dismantled to lift people out of poverty. The current political system in Nigeria is inhuman, exploitative and unsustainable, it must be overhauled to address the interconnectedness of trust, governance and growth. Click on this link to read more: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/the-hard-truth-about-restructuring.html
Sixtus Uche Okeke is a Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation and the Author of Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It.

Tuesday 4 September 2018

The hard truth about restructuring Nigeria by Uche Okeke

A political system that leaves the majority of its population living below the extreme poverty line cannot be morally justifyiable, it must be dismantled to lift people out of poverty. The current political system in Nigeria is inhuman, exploitative, unproductive and unsustainable, it must be overhauled to address the interconnectedness of trust, governance and growth. 'Freedom is development'- Uche Okeke.

Nigeria is not a homogeneous society. It is we the people not selected few, but the whole people who will write a constitution that will govern us. Our prosperity to the whole people not the few. Our rights beyond the power of any state to deny. The solution to Nigeria's problem is less to do with economics than the gross abuse of power.  We must be willing to get it right if we want to move forward as a nation, restructuring Nigeria is not an option rather a development intervention whose time has come. This starts by addressing the root of the problem which is ''hijacking by despotism''. You cannot talk about good governance without addressing social justice and equity. Good governance is about providing a 'transparent and stable envinroment for welfare and growth', which is lacking in Nigeria due to the political system. I have just read the Vice President's response; Professor Osibanjo to Former Vice President Atiku Abubarkar describing his position on restructuring as 'vague', this is not true. He also said restructuring is not Nigeria's problem, this is also not true. Meanwhile he favours stronger autonomous states, state police, so what is restructuring? The Professor  is simply mixing up the arguement for political gains, despite abundant evidence of state failure. I have also read a new story where the ruling APC party is questioning why Alhaji Atiku who was a Vice-President for Eight years did not effect restructuring. This is laughable because everyone knows the simple answer and reason for the heightened agitation; 'full blown tyranny', in this political dispensation. Nigeria is now at it's worst in everything ; leadership, economy, division, etc, moreso, we're now in the golden age , the age of enlightenment and new awareness where people are now fully aware of their basic  rights in their own country. Today's technology and globalisation have fully equipped people with new knowledge and information about how things are done properly and how it's done in other places, similarly it has equipped them with the tools to ask important questions about the future and mobilise effectively to demand change. The population of the country is growing astronomically estimated about 200-million and there is infrastructural deficit to support this trend. Professor Osibanjo described this development as ''democratic time bomb", unless the government mobilises a good stakeholder partnership to build a strong economy that will support the nation's fast growing population.

 Professor Osibanjo favours stronger, more autonomous states that will embrace innovative management, good governance and greater economic diversification citing the success of Lagos state especially in increased Internal Revenue Generation, brilliant. The answer is not far fetched. Lagos state was the first capital of Nigeria and now the commercial city with steady investment in infrastructure, human and material resources, secondly it has enjoyed unlimited independence and stability from the centre, the most populous state in the country,  and the leadership is also local. I totally agree with more autonomous states with greater economic and financial resources. He favours state police which means more economic and financial resources to the states. What we are yet to acertain is if this is personal opinion or the position of the ruling party and the government. The ruling APC party leadership said it would only look into the issue of restructuring after the next election which we know its not true, and the government spokesman Mr Femi Adesina said the president is unpeturbed by the recent pressure by Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar to revisit the restructuring debate. The Vice-President, Professor Osibanjo rejects the idea of  of creating additional states to address the imbalance in the system due to size and cost, i totally disagree with this position because its the fundamental rights of citizens to benefit from the wealth of the nation and to ensure equity and justice in the system; proportional representation.  It's not a 'gift' of the federal government. According to George Kerevan and Alan Cochrane, "the arguement that size should confer greater risk is not found in any economic textbook". There are evidence of successful small states that don't have the benefits of oil. Today there are innovative ways to grow small states. Secondly a look at the Population Census and INEC registration details reveals a lot of flaws in the system. Some states/regions are more populous than others not taken account that the people who make up this numbers are from various states, this also affects election outcomes, representations, revenue allocation and other distribution of development projects, making it very difficult to reconcile state of origin and state of residence. Population census counts were deeply influenced for power, representation and resources.

On Corruption, my inescapable position is that corruption cannot fix corruption. The political system is the main corruption that must be overhauled to address the interconnectedness of trust, governance and growth. We are all aware of Matthew Page's report on corruption in Nigeria.  According to him ; "Corruption in Nigeria runs the gamut from the jaw dropping, to the creative, to the mundane''. In his words; "It encompasses the oil minister who diverted billions in just a few years. It includes the local official who claimed a snake silthered into her office and gobbled up $100,000 in cash. And it involves the cop shaking down motorists for 25-cents a piece at makeshift checkpoints"-[Matthew Page; A New 'Periodic Table' To Classify Corruption; The FCPA Blog , Wednesday, August 22 2018]. There is a new report by Amnesty International on 'untraceable $670million dollars on security vote annually'. We are all aware of the rot at the oil industry including a missing $25billion dollars which the Vice-President was appointed to investigate. We're yet to see the outcome till date, etc. The Governors all accused the management of NNPC of lack of transparency in remitting differences in oil prices, The Senate President, Dr Bukola Saraki said NNPC stinks despite regime change. According to Femi Falana, a Senior Advocate of Nigeria, SAN, " Nigeria sold Oil & Gas worth $104Billion Dollars only $38Billion Dollars went to the account of Nigeria"-Falana Wants Nigeria Government To Recover Over $100Billion Dollars Unremitted Royalties From Oil Firms, Premium Times, 19 October 2018.  Most of the politicians that were accused of corruption are now lured in by the government to help it win the next election. In the words of the ruling APC party Chairman, Adams Oshimole; "once you join the ruling APC party, your sins are forgiven", this is not how to fight corruption. Meanwhile the Vice President , Professor Osibanjo is leading the government social intervention programme in Osun State with a political bribery of Ten Thousand Naira interest free loan (N10,000.00) payment to Osun state traders just because of the Governorship election this month, perhaps he doesn't see it as corruption. The design of the scheme was to be private sector driven led by the local co-operative societies , microfinance and other thrift organisations, but its now hijacked for political gains. Furthermore when we talk about corruption the politicians/government tend to make ordinary people believe that corruption is just stealing public funds.

Corruption, also involves 'hijacking by despotism'; what Professor A.C. Grayling described as "the licence to do as one pleases'', which is the root of corruption in Nigeria. It also includes political bias, discrimination, favouritism, 'deliberate wastes' including funding traditional rulers/religious leaders, religious pilgrimage, payment to terrorists, abnormal executive/legislature wages(exhorbitant salaries), medical and education tourism, subsidy abuse and the president making himself peteroleum minister, tax evasion, allocation of government lands to private use, certificate forgery, non-disclosure, political appointments into unproductive agencies for political gains, commercialisation of political party nomination forms to exclude the majority, social exclusion, money politics, lies, mass propaganda, fake news, etc. A new report by Guadian newspaper Nigeria, has revealed that the Federal Government can save about N75 Billion Naira annually, if it abolishes the sponsorship of Hajj . We have also seen a new report on Sahara Reporters, Tinubu's Alpha Beta is accused of N100Billion money laundering, Tax evasion and other frauds, yet Chief Bola Tinubu is the National Leader of the ruling APC party and the political god father of the Vice-President, Professor Osibanjo. The idea of the government to misinform the people to believe that its only the PDP that is corrupt is fraudlent, corruption is everywhere. It's a very fraudlent strategy to hide incompetence, incapacitation and reality. It's very wrong, fraudlent and populist strategy to  persuade and influence voters from making the right choices. This government is the problem not the solution by playing political football with the much desired restructuring debate. To eradicate corruption in Nigeria, we must start from the root cause of the problem, anything else is distraction.

The Vice-President talked about social feeding programmes and conditional cash transfer schemes, tradermoni, n-power as poverty erdaication programmes of the government. Though these are barbaric poverty eradication strategies that do not add value to the economy, non-tax paying, low skills, low wage equilibrium,  this is also not without political bias and favouritism. I wonder how many states that are currently benefitting from this programme and the criteria for selection. We will address this later after studying his position on this.

We have argued that the focus should be to harness internal partnerships of our various components to build trust, independent democratic institutions including the judiciary and the legislature, anti-corruption agencies, etc to achieve growth and stability due to our heterogeneous nature, not unitary enforcement approach by the centre. This is not far from geographical restructuring, moving economic and political power down to identity. Local people must take wholesome ownership to drive investments and innovative management , security and greater economic diversification,etc without undue interference by the centre. The centre controls a whole lot of the national resources just to do as it pleases, and the people reside in local areas not in the city. This fuels unnecessary hardships.

The administration of government in Nigeria is through three levels, similarly, budgetary allocations are shared among these governments as follows:
Federal: 52.6%
States :   26.72%
LGAs :   20.60%
The federal government ought to take the least, rather it's the other way round just to build a big army to maintain security, fund unproductive agencies to benefit a certain homogeneous group, political bribery, pay themselves exorbitant wages, fund the next election and other 'white elephant projects' for political gains instead of development, especially at the local level. According to Pete Hoekstra; former Chairman of the US Intelligence Committee from 2004-2007, Seventy percent- 70% of the national treasury is spent on the salaries and benefits of government officials who make upwards of two million ($2 Million ) dollars a year. There's urgent need to develop new cities,build new sea-ports, air-hubs, enhance connectivity, empower states with greater economic and financial resources to explore and exploit their comparative advantage, diversify their economy through taxation, trade, technology , foreign direct investments and financial markets, provide key infrastructure and pool of skilled labour to benefit from globalisation as big businesses are seeking for new markets and Nigeria provides a favourable destination. They come with the much needed capital , investment and technology which is a great asset for development. There is no evidence in any economic textbook that 'small states' will not survive and lift its citizens out of poverty. There is abundant evidence of many small states that are successful and achieved economic growth.  The states that choose to waste their own income on funding pilgrimage and other white elephant projects will only have themselves to blame, its not supposed to be a national problem. According to Peter Katzenstein; "In order to achieve all this, small states needed to stay competitive and adaptable, limit labor costs in the export sector and by offering public goods in return for private wage claims. This included a large stake in domestic planning and decision making and incomprehensive public spending schemes"-[.Small States in World Markets: Industrial Policy in Europe; Professor Peter Katzenstein, 1985.]

We will take our time to address this burning national issue taking a holistic look at the following :

a) Better Governance:
 "Good governance provides a transparent and stable environment for risk assessment and decision making and contributes to welfare and growth"- Professor Richard Griffiths.
Restructuring presents that magic bullet to achieve good governance. Good governance is about openness, and transparency, efficient provision of public goods, strong institutions that will remove the need for bribery and corruption, increased levels of trust, greater provision of public services including education and healthcare, reducing the incentive for grab your share of the national cake that has defined the country, economic growth and prosperity . It is possible to have fair and just society- freedom, equity, social justice reigns. Homogeneity increases trust, good governance and leads to economic progress.

b)Trust:
"Trust is the glue that holds society together"-Professor Richard Griffiths
 The problem of trust is inherent in our political system with the political actors proving us right on a daily basis. Undermining trusts leads to fragmentation of society which poses a threat to democracy and development. Trust is essential to society. The trust question is a very important factor for restructuring. There is now a collapse of trust due to divisions, discriminations, favouritism and bold political bias in government policies resulting in heightened agitation for immediate restructuring of this current political system. The role of trust is very important in the society especially heterogeneous society like Nigeria. The level of mutual trust is important in measuring the quality of governance. The government we elected to act on our behalf must act in the interest of the whole society not the ''narrow sectional interest of their own''. The presidency says the president selects only the people he trusts to work with him, now the only people he can trust are his immediate family, and a few close friends. These are people with whom he shares his knowledge, transactions, plans for his future and his rewards, so he is not fit to be president of the whole country. The other ethnic minorities are not trusted enough to be in his government as has shown in his political appointments including security chiefs and other politicisation of policies.
Homogeneous society is an advantage to high level of trust as the idea of trust is embedded in social capital. The current system in Nigeria is characterised by '"patronage-,the favouring of family and proteges, permeated by cronyism, the favouring of friends, clintellism, the favouring of regular business contacts and associates and corruption, the giving or taking of bribes to secure a deal".  Resturing is the answer as the current system undermines the formation of the social capital and the nuturing of trust leading to the fragmentation of the society which endangers democracy and development. Trust is very important to build confidence in government, ensure openess and transparency and reduce the prevalent incidence of 'grab your share' which has characterised our politics.  Click on this link to read more: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/the-centrality-of-trust-in-nigeria-are.html

c)Greater Citizen Engagement:
Restructuring offers the easiest opportunity for greater citizen engagement, help ''improve transparency and accountability of public policies, promote citizen's trust, forge concensus around important reforms and build the political and public support necessary to sustain them"- World Bank.
One of the reason that democracy is considered good for growth is that if citizens are involved in making policy, they will also try to make it work, but it's a big challenge in Nigeria.

d)Economic Development:
The political system/structure has made it increasingly difficult to get it right because of vested interests. This is a dilemma, a tragedy. We must address the big issue of abuse of power. Good governance is very essential to economic growth-, open, transparency and accountability. We must empower people by investing in growth policies, infrastructure, better public services-education and healthcare and policies to attract investment and opportunities in the global economy. Today independent states provide the space where things will happen, they need greater economic and financial resources to invest in key policies that will lift their citizens out of poverty. The Minimum wage debate has also supported the need for greater economic and financial resources for states in Nigeria. According to Governor Dave Umahi, who is the Chairman of the South-East Nigeria Governors Forum, 95% of the states can't pay the National Minimum Wage of N30,000.00  which is less than the World Bank's Living wage of $1.9 dollars per day, because of the dysfunctional allocation formular. In his words; "the payment of Thirty Thousand Naira(N30,000.00) can only be realised if the federation account allocation formula is reviewed to offer more earnings to states. People don't understand the problems being experienced by the states and the Governors have kept quiet for long and need to speak presently"- Gov. Dave Umahi; 95% of States Can't Pay N30,000.00 Minimum Wage, The Nation, November 7, 2018.

- Economic Diversification(Agriculture,
 Entrepreneurship, Mfg, Trade, Taxation,
Tech, Tourism, etc)

e)Economic Infrastructure Investment:
i)Physical Infrastructure:
Road network, Connectivity, Power Generation, Construction of Bridges, Broad-band,
Railways, Development of Sea Ports, Airports/Airhubs,

ii)Social Infrastructure:
Health, Education, Social Welfare, Finance, etc.

f)Technology/Globalisation- Trade, Foreign Direct Investments, Financial Markets.
"Technology is a force for peace and prosperity"-WEF.
Technology is the future, it come with opportunities and risks which we can harness for development. Technology provides the best opportunities for progress. Restructuring offers us the opportunity to adapt fast to the challenges of technology instead of  perishing in the bureaucracy and political bias of the centre. We must invest in the future by providing the infrastructure, and equipping young people with new knowledge and skills especially digital skills to participate in the new economy- trade, foreign direct investment and financial markets whose growth is driven by technology. "Investing in a healthy, educated and resilient population is key to competing effectively in the global economy"-World Bank (Human Capital-InvestInPeople).

g)Security/Jobs- Proper jobs not hand-out.
"Security and Stability are precursors to economic growth and development"-Pete  Hoestra.
The current political system creates unnecessary discrimination, political favouritism and bias, insecurity and instability all the creation of the politicians for the struggle for territory and resource control. The Southern and Middle-belt forum leaders have just described the recent removal of  a more competent, experienced and qualified Acting DG of DSS , Mr Mattew Seiyefa and the appointment of Mr Yusuf Magaji Bichi from Kano State by the president as a "vote of no confidence in one Nigeria''. In their own words: "The I don't care and in-your-face attitude of the president in restoring Nigeria security architecture to the provocative situation of having 16 out of 17 service chiefs from his corner of the country is a clear demonstration of the fact that Nigeria for General Muhammadu Buhari is no more than his section of Nigeria and the resources and the constitutionally mandatory votes from other sections of the country. Since 1960 Nigeria has never had a leader more sectional, narrow, parochial, and tribalistic like the current president who went on a global stage to divide Nigeria into 95% and 5%". Unfortunately, this is a big slap in the face to Professor Yemi Osibanjo, the Vice President who appointed Mr Mattew Seiyfa as the Acting DG of  DSS just less than a month ago in the wake of the seige on the national assembly led by a former Director of DSS also the President's tribes man. ''Are we still in one country?", the Southern and Middle-Belt leaders asked in a press statement.

h)Cultural, Moral, Identity:
Culture is the engine for economic growth, we must protect our identity, cultural assets and values. Restructuring is a moral guarantor of our various culture, and identity, very essential for growth, security and stability. Power to identity not power imposed on identity.

i)The Myth of Diaspora:
The Diaspora need a place they can call home devoid of tyranny, favouritism and political bias. Diaspora brings new attitude, education and new skills,
helps build knowledge economy,  research & innovation, trade,technology, finance, investments, etc. Diaspora is huge source of foreign direct investment needed for economic development and growth.

j)International Organisations/NGOs:
Non-Governmental Organisations are great force for development. They have a lot of 'power and influence' to effect development . They don't need unneccessary influence of the decisions  and bureacracy of the centre to tell them where to operate and what to do.

k)Global Partnership/International Institutions:
International organisations play a great role in development. Restructuring offers great opportunity to tap into this global partnerships without bureaucracy or political bias and favouritism.

l)Growth and Stability.
Restructuring is about alternative policy responses to stagnation, persistence poverty and instability .Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to address the 'inter-connectedness of trust, governance and growth'. Restructuring offers the opportunity to invest in growth policies that will guarantee growth and stability instead of unnecessary politicisation of policies. Prosperity comes with peace, not fear and terror. Growth is not too complex, its achievable if we play by the rules. In the words of Creston Davis; '' A crucial element of change happens when people realisze that the current state of things no longer works. Change is a fundamental aspect of all areas of life. Growth requires change, but institutions that benefit from keeping things the same have a vested interest in resisting change''. Read more soon. http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/growth-and-stability-is-not-too-complex.html


Note:
I have argued very strongly that politics in Nigeria is dominated by self-interests, narrow demands of the cabals who weild power; ruthless cabals with a 'distinct lack of conscience'. The country has been shaped more by political decisions of the centre ; unitary-centralised political system characterised by exploitation, ruthless pursuit of self-interests which affects economic development , trust, governance and growth. It needs adjustment/restructuring to guarantee autonomous states/regions, independence of the political decisions of the centre, i.e, greater devolution of responsibilities and resources.

There is abundant evidence of successful economies that do not have the benefits of oil. They have thrived on efficient tax system, technology, entrepreneurship, Agriculture, manufacturing,  trade, greater citizen engagement, inclusiveness, knowledge economy, empowering women, pioneering investment and innovation, modernisation, prudent management and better governance, the myth of diaspora, NGOs, global partnerships etc. Independent states with more economic and financial resources present great opportunity not risks for development.

 Restructuring is the solution to the current political system/structure which 'obstructs development and consolidation of democracy' in Nigeria. Homogeneous society is a great advantage to democratization, this is not far from moving economic and political power down to identity. Restructuring is about alternative policy responses to stagnation, persistence poverty and instability .Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to address the 'inter-connectedness of trust, governance and growth'.

Employing a political economy approach, Independent States/Autonomy will avoid centralised leadership, promote decentralized leadership for more effective governance, prevent dominant coalition, make it 'easier to obtain consensus, develop and propagate its own agenda , build separated and strong institutions-investigative and judicial arm and promote its own ideology and diplomacy, cultural and historical factors, greater citizen engagement-accountability and transparency, embrace partnership as part of its own development strategy. Unlike the current structure characterised by self-interests, formation of dominant coalition, lack of transparency and accountability, weak institutions and mechanisms to hold leaders to account for their promises.

 Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to harness or manage our diversity, make the union strong and leverage global partnership to effect development and growth. Restructuring is neither disintegration nor seccession, as the politicians want ignorant people to believe, so ordinary people need to be properly informed. Without restructuring anything else is distraction.

 Electoral democracy, i.e. election every four years does not bring development especially in a political climate/environment characterised by pitch invasion-'gutter' politicians in charge. Some of us still see the world through the map phenomenon or 'map' narrative; distorted views that tend to  make us celebrate and fight for the status-quo, the same reason for persistence of poverty, mass-unemployment, stagnation and political instability. Thinking needs to change. We must learn to look at the solution to our problem from the global best practices, not the distorted/narrow views of the power grabs; self proclaimed statesmen influenced by prejudice, outdated knowledge and self-interests. Homogeneity increases trust, good governance and leads to economic progress.Restructuring is one sure way to guarantee security and prosperity of citizens in Nigeria.

Click on this link to read more:
 http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/09/restructuring-nigeria-is-one-sure-way.html


-Better Governance:
As we explained above; ''Good governance provides a transparent and stable environment for risk assessment and decision making and contributes to welfare and growth'- Professor Richard Thomas Griffiths', but this is lacking in Nigeria due to the political system; dictatorial, division, poor resource management, discrimination, corruption- favouritism, political bias, wastes on 'white elephant projects' , etc. Never has it been so bad as in this current dispensation which has galvanised a united front to demand urgent restructuring due to uncertain future. Global reports reveal that Nigeria ranks top of global poverty table,overtaking India and others,  unemployment hits the highest record ever, Nigeria ranks below Congo, Somalia, Sudan in insecurity table, the health minister says Nigeria is leading the world on mortality rate.Nigeria is top of the worst electricity supply nations.  We are aware of  other global reports on the economy, education, rule of law, human rights abuse, terrorism etc. The anti-corruption drive is selective and targets only opposition members, creating 'deep political divisions' and prolonged uncertainties.  This should be a huge cause for concern. I don't know if this is the leadership that Professor Osibanjo is talking about. Read More: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/10/governance-in-nigeria-exploitation-and.html

Similarly the President has declined to sign new Africa trade deals which has the potential to open up new opportunities for citizens. In  Nigeria, infrastructure and public services are for political gains with a barbaric development policy of 95/5%, etc. Elections are not credible, not free and fair and the federal government is in complete control of democratic institutions often appointing people from a particular tribe(tribes men) and relatives to be in charge,to influence election outcomes, this is not fair and certainly not the future in a heterogeneous society.  The government is just interested in the next election, to continue business as usual . Electoral democracy-election every four years does not bring economic development. This is not a good model for development especially in a heterogeneous society like Nigeria.

   Autonomy will guarantee regions/states a less risky and stable environment  to drive innovative management and greater economic diversification without undue interference of the centre to undertake economic development to contribute to improving the welfare of their citizens and overall growth of their respective states. 'Politics and Economics are interconnected', so it needs local ownership/leadership to succeed, one of the main reasons for independence from colonial masters, however, today we face the risk of modern slavery and colonisation by our own kits and kin, this is not the future that the people want. Independent States/Autonomy will avoid centralised leadership, promote decentralized leadership for more effective governance, prevent dominant coalition, make it ''easier to obtain concensus, develop and propagate its own agenda , build separated and strong institutions-investigative and judicial arm and promote its own ideology and diplomacy'', ensure equity and justice in the system.

-Security/Jobs: Proper jobs not hand-outs; N-Power?
"Security and Stability are precursors to economic growth and development"-Pete  Hoestra
The current situation in Nigeria supports the need for immediate restructuring so that states/regions will take wholesome ownership of the security of lives and properties of their own citizens in their own hands. In a heterogeneous society like Nigeria, all the security heads are from one tribe, the president's tribe. The state governors said they are just mere administrators without powers to control security in their own states. Most of the security personnel and institutions-infrastructure,training in the country are located in a particular region providing support and jobs for people from a particular region/tribe. This is not the future. The recent atrocities of the herdsmen in the middle belt and other states exposed the great flaws in the system with the government indicted by Amnesty International and other local and intenational organisation for ineffectiveness and collusion. General TY Danjuma is due to give a public lecture at the British House of Lords in that regard. He is one of the leading voices in accusing the government and the military for collusion. The police runs checkpoints in various parts of the states collecting rents on a daily basis, thus exploiting local people. The president of Ohaneze Ndigbo, a pan Igbo apex organisation raised alarm about the treatements metted out to his people in the South-East Nigeria. Furthermore, the Nigeria government was quick to proscribe Independent People of Biafra IPOB accusing it of posing security risk whereas it was unable to do same to the herdsmen that present the real and present danger. The South East and South South are easily vulnerable to various military intimidations and bullying code named operation python dance, etc, at every least provocation. The government uses security at will to invade state houses of assemblies and effect leadership change in states of interests and have military formations across the states to maintain security of their estate. Its like occupation. State police/security is about new jobs, new institutions, infrastructure, training, new skills, innovative management,  effectiveness and efficiency for states and new states. This needs greater economic and financial resources to execute which restructuring offers. Read More: We are no longer comfortable being part of Nigeria says Ohaneze Ndigbo: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/03/nigerias-democracy-and-its-crisis_13.html?spref=fb

-The Myth of Diaspora:
The diaspora is a good force for development especially if they have a place they can call home, a government that is transparent and effective willing to provide security and stable envirnoment for their investments and collaborations/partnerships. Diaspora brings new attitude, new skills , helps build knowledge economy, innovation and technology and funds for investment. Nigeria government is tyrannical, promotes identity politics, discrimination, division and deliberate wastes, denies diaspora votes and participation in election process, commercialise party nomination forms to exclude the majority, cannot guarantee democracy and human rights, no world-class infrastructure including electricity, internet/broadband, clean water, ease of doing business, bureaucracy, lack of protection of property rights, favouritism, political bias, lack of finance, uneven distribution of basic amenities, including sea ports, airhubs, airports, insecurity, etc. Moving power down to identity will definitely spur/harness diaspora partnerships for local economic and political development, especially in the areas of housing, banking/finance, education, healthcare, technology, entrepreneurship, agriculture, manufacturing, retail, e-commerce, transport, aviation, agribusiness, oil and gas services, engineering, security, telecommunication, trade, toursim, entertainment, arts and culture, media, etc. The current government stiffles competition by granting monoploy to Dangote to dominate important sectors. According to Senator Ben Bruce Murray; "Nigeria diaspora remitted $22billion dollars to Nigeria in 2017, that is almost Kenya's entire budget for 2018". In his words; "our diaspora is the single largest source of foreign direct investment into Nigeria". I participated in a course on Growing Entrepreneurship in Transitioning Economies so I know of Mr Jason Njoku the owner of Iroko TV, a leading venture capitalist providing support training, mentoring and finance for entrepreneurship especially internet start-ups in Nigeria, and so many others in a position to do more in a transparent, stable, and secure envirnoment devoid of political bias and favouritism.  Click on this link to read more: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/06/the-impact-of-diaspora-vote-in-nigerias.html

-NGOs:
Non-Governmental Organisations are good force for development, naturally very effective if its leadership and operation is local ownership. They provide new skills, training often leveraging global partnership to effect development in their localities. What we have in Nigeria is 'good intentions' , this is not the future. The LEAD Project Foundation is a diaspora initiative to effect change and create a better society. The Political System in Nigeria is anti initiatives like this venture and sees it as effective opposition, instead of development partners, that's just the whole point. It's a huge dilemma, a tragedy. Restructuring will certainly change this thinking and harness important partnerships with independent states for development. NGO's also play a great role in service delivery and accountability. This project is an attempt to help shift thinking and inspire action for the desired change.

-Entrepreneurship:
"the Sub-Saharan African region is a vast business ecosystem with gems hidden under rough terrains"-Entrepreneur. The potentials of Entrepreneurship in Nigeria is amazing but this is not without challenges, the same thing-politics; favouritism, political bias, lack of transparency, insecurity, identity politics, bureaucracy, lack of investment in pioneering research, commercialisation of research and innovation, poor infrastructural investment, poor support including finance etc. The government funds unproductive federal agencies for political gains and tribal gains/domination. Restructuring offers the opportunity to eliminate barriers that limit entrepreneurs from creating booming businesses. Funds that are wasted on the next election and other white elephant projects including security votes, exorbitant executive/legislature salaries will be harnessed by the new independent states to invest in growth policies and support entrepreneurship; encourage start-ups and help them grow and scale up leveraging global partnerships. Entrepreneurship presents great opportunity to drive local economic development, stability and growth by providing the right education,collaboration, infrastructure including electricity, internet/broadband and new skills for new jobs. Read More:

-Infrastructural Investment:
In Nigeria provision of public services including infrastructure is for political gains and control. The current government has a 95%: 5% policy depending on the number votes receieved during elections. The government unilaterally invests in other neighbouring countries, funds fruitless oil search and ransome payments to terrorists instead of investing in component states. We have seen railway for Niger Republic. The government is building a new refinery in Katsina state in addition to existing refineries in Kaduna state, perhaps the other states/regions would have to wait until its their turn to become president. Lagos state sea port is now congested but there seems to be no political will to diversify and invest in connectivity, build new sea ports and railway lines in various states seen as unnecessary competitors instead of development partners. There is no political will to build new international airports/airhubs in various states or improve existing ones to open up new routes and opportunities for international trade. Citizens have to transit through designated airports to access international markets due to federal government policies of control. This causes loss of revenue to those vulnerable states targeted for control.  It's impossible to achieve development in this regard, where political decisions retard infrastructural investments. Independent states is the answer which restructuring offers. Read More:

-Coclusion:
No doubt restructuring seeks to end the dependency culture and unnecessary interference of the centre, well- intentioned marginalisation of ethnic minorities often using conquering tactis to diminish their economic and political potentials. Restructuring will  definitely help states/regions to adapt, exploit comparative advantage and competitiveness, to raise productivity, investment and innovation once economic and political autonomy is attained . Lastly it will also help to eliminate sycophancy, corruption and political clintellism that now hunts the polity. In the words of Professor Muhammad Yunus; "Poverty is the absence of human rights. I believe that putting resources into improving the lives of the poor people is a better strategy than spending it on guns". Restructuring is one sure way to harness or manage our diversity, make the union strong and leverage global partnership to effect development and the much needed change. Restructuring is neither disintegration nor seccession, so ordinary people need to be properly informed. Restructuring is for peace, prosperity, stability and growth. Restructuring Nigeria is the revolution we all want. Restructuring is citizens right just like the right to vote in elections, so its not a choice. We must put pressure on the politicians who conspire to maintain a system that favours their interests only. The truth is that we are heading towards greater wealth inequality, authoritarianism , mass poverty, division, insecurity, prolonged uncertainty, all deliberate, avoidable . We will overcome this 'dark and bitter' moment only when reason prevails . No matter how the politicians pretend not to know, homogeneous society is a great advantage to democritization. This is a great challenge to political leaders. Restructuring Nigeria is one sure way to guarantee citizens security and prosperity.

 Read this blog regularly as we continue to analyse the activities of the power grabs in Nigeria, with a 'distinct lack of conscience'. To them everything is for political gains; ruthless pursuit of self-interests. Today, they no longer possess monopoly of information.  The people must put more pressure on the politicians to restructure the country instead of being continueosly deceived by ''false identities'', and what they hope to gain. The repressed must rise up against a dysfunctional system that excludes and exploits them. Freedom is not freely given by the oppressors/hijackers. In the words of Creston Davis; "Power resists social change".

Find out more soon.

Sixtus Uche Okeke is a  Statistician, Social Entrepreneur, the Founder of The LEAD Project Foundation and the Author of : 'Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate, Avoidable-'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It. He has participated in Political Economy of Institutions and Development, Universiteit Leiden and several International Development Courses. He lives in London, United Kingdom.

Read More : Restructuring Nigeria; the big political question of our time- Expensive, Wasteful, Dictatorial: http://www.theleadprojectfoundation.com/2018/08/restructuring-nigeria-big-political.html

References:

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2. Buhari is Nigeria's Problem Not Its Solution; Pete  Hoestra, The World Street Journal , WSJ June 16, 2016

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5. Engaging Citizens: A Game Changer For Development; The World Bank Group/LSE.

6. Falana Wants Nigeria Government To Recover Over $100Billion Dollars Unremitted Royalties From Oil Firms, Premium Times, 19 October 2018.

7. Federalism & Decentralization: Evaluating Africa's Track Record; Dr. Jan Erk; Universiteit Leiden.

8. From Poverty to Prosperity: Understanding Economic Development, Professor, Sir, Paul Collier, Oxford University, 2017.

9. A New 'Periodic Table' To Classify Corruption; The FCPA Blog ,  Matthew Page, Wednesday, August 22 2018.

10. Nigeria's Democracy And Its Crisis Deliberate Avoidable- 'Bribe & Bullet'. What Can Be Done About It; Uche Okeke, London 2018.

11. Nigeria Sitting on Population Time Bomb Unless, Professor Yemi Osibanjo, Vanguard, September 14 2018.

12. 95% of States Can't Pay N30,000.00 Minimum Wage-Governor Dave Umahi, The Nation, November 7, 2018.

13. Political Economy of Institutions and Development, Professor Richard Griffiths, Universitet Leiden.

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15. Public Policy Challenges of The 21st Century, Professor Gerry Warburg, University of Virginia.

16. Small States in World Markets: Industrial Policy in Europe; Professor Peter Katzenstein, 1985.

17. The Bottom Billion; Why the Poorest Countries Are Falling and What Can Be Done About It; Professor  Sir, Paul Collier, Oxford University Press, 2009.

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21. The Time of  the Intellectual Activists Has Come; Creston Davis, Truthout, November 4, 2017.

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The LEAD Project Foundation